外资对产业结构演变的影响——基于深圳市面板数据的实证分析

摘要

利用1979-2011年深圳市三次产业的实际利用外资总额和三次产业总值,构建变系数固定效应面板数据模型,分析深圳市的实际利用外资额对其三次产业结构的影响.结果表明:外资对三次产业产值的增长均有正向影响,但影响程度存在差异,即对第一产业产值的影响较小、对第三产业产值的影响最大.%Based on the Shenzhen's data about total amount of foreign capital and output value of three industries from 1979 to 2011,this paper establishes the fixed-effect panel data model with variable coefficient to analyze the effects of foreign capital of three industries on industrial structure of Shenzhen.The results show that foreign capital has positive effects on the growth of three industrial output value,but the effect degrees are different with different industries,namely,the effect on tertiary industry is the greatest.