中国工程科技2035技术预见研究

摘要

技术预见是一种致力于促进科技与经济、重大计划一体化,对远期技术发展进行的有步骤的探索过程.结合我国未来经济社会发展对工程科技的需求,在工程科技发展战略研究中引入技术预见,开展未来20年工程科技关键技术预测与选择.中国工程科技2035技术预见结合工程科技特点,设计了客观分析法与主观判断相结合的技术预见方法与应用流程,针对11个工程科技领域的800余项备选技术,提出了2035年我国工程科技各领域发展的关键技术、共性技术以及颠覆性技术,分析了关键技术的实现时间、发展水平与制约因素,为各领域制定面向2035工程科技发展技术路线图提供系统性的支撑.%Technology foresight is a process that promotes the integration of technology,the economy,and major planning projects,and explores the development of future technology.In consideration of the future economic and social development needs of our country,technology foresight in development strategy research on engineering science and technology involves predicting and selecting key technologies for engineering science and technology in the next 20 years.Combining objective analysis with subjective judgment,the methods and procedures applied in technology foresight on China's engineering science and technology to 2035 were designed by considering the characteristics of engineering science and technology.This technology foresight selects key,common,and disruptive technologies from more than 800 technologies in 11 fields,and analyzes their technical realization time,development level,and constraints.The results of the technology foresight are adopted to create a technology roadmap for China's engineering science and technology development to 2035 in various fields.