我国地震海啸危险性概率分析方法

摘要

日本、美国等国家在海啸危险性分析方面做了较多的研究,有相关的分析方法提出.我国地震海啸研究尚属于起步阶段,还没有形成公认的地震海啸危险性概率分析的思路和方法.简要综述了我国地震海啸的研究进展,借鉴我国已成熟的地震危险性分析方法,给出了地震海啸危险性概率分析的思路与方法,并对其关键技术问题进行了分析,为我国全面开展地震海啸减灾工作提供依据.%Tsunami hazard analysis has been undergone many years in Japan, America and other countries. Some methods had been applied in the resistance of tsunami hazard. In China, the studies on tsunami hazard are just realized by the public. However, the definition and method of probability analysis of earthquake-induced tsunami hazard has not been proposed. In this paper, following the regular seismic hazard analysis methods, Chinese probability analysis of tsunami hazard is given.