反舰导弹对近程舰炮武器系统的突防概率仿真

摘要

针对反舰导弹突破近程舰炮武器系统防御阵地的战场需求,研究近程舰炮武器系统的开火时机和命中概率数学模型,分析其对反舰导弹产生有效可靠的毁伤时的射击持续时间,计算反舰导弹的突防概率.通过仿真,定量分析了超音速反舰导弹在中末段实施蛇行机动和跃升俯冲攻击时对近程舰炮武器系统的突防概率,为导弹突防和舰艇近程防御方面的作战使用提供参考.%Aiming at the military demand for anti-ship missile to pierce through the close-in defense of naval gun weapon system, the firing occasion and hitting probability of naval gun weapon system for close-in defense are studied to analyze the continually firing time for effectually damaging the anti-ship missile and calculate the piercing probability of anti-ship missile. In simulations, the piercing probability of anti-ship transsonic missile with snake wriggling maneuvering and swoop attack in terminal is analyzed quantificationally, which can offer some references for operation usage of counterplot between ship and anti-ship misiile.