基于交通出行行为的郑焦城际公交客流预测

摘要

通过统计分析郑焦城际公交乘客的个人属性和出行信息,选择灰色模型对客流进行建模、预测和精度检验,得到模型的平均相对误差为3.98％,精度为96.02％,较好地满足了精度要求.该研究为郑焦城际公交的组织优化提供了理论依据和技术支持.%In this paper,through statistical analysis of the personal attributes and travel information of Zhengzhou-Jiaozuo intercity bus passengers,the grey model was chosen for modeling,predicting,and precision detecting of the passenger flow.The average relative error of the model was 3.98％ and the precision was 06.02％,which met the accuracy requirement well.The research offers a theoretical basis and technical support for optimizing the organization of Zhengzhou-Jiaozuo intercity bus.