创新科技政策时滞效应研究——基于中关村国家自主创新示范区数据

摘要

创新科技政策传导过程存在时滞效应是一个不容回避的重要问题.通过整理2009 -2016年相关数据并采用脉冲响应函数和方差分析法对创新科技政策(人才激励、研发补贴、税收优惠、政府采购、服务外包)效应外部时滞进行分析.研究结果表明:创新科技政策的时滞导致政策效果无法得到充分、及时的发挥.不同的创新科技政策工具会产生不同的政策效果时滞期.政策外部效应时滞发生于企业判断政策—确认政策—吸收政策—执行政策—创新产出这一过程之中.%The time delay in the transmission process of innovation science and technology policy is an important problem. Through the clear up data,using impulse response function and variance analysis to analyze the external delay of innova-tion science and technology policy(talent incentive,R&D subsidy,tax preference,government procurement,service out-sourcing),the results show that:policy effectiveness cannot be fully and timely play.Different innovation science and technology policy tools will produce different policy effects.The policy time delay occurs in the process of judgment policy-validation policy-absorption policy-implementation policy-innovation output.