各省科技金融发展、技术创新水平与经济增长的门限效应分析——基于2000-2015年的省际面板数据

摘要

以2000-2015年的省际面板年度数据为样本,结合Hansen提出的门限检验方法,以我国29个省级行政区的技术创新水平为门限变量,运用双重门限模型,对各省科技金融发展与经济增长之间的非线性关系进行实证分析.分析结果表明:各省级行政区的科技金融发展与经济增长呈非线性关系,随着技术创新水平的不断提升,各省科技金融与经济增长之间的正向关系将会显著提升,并据此提出了相应的政策建议.%By taking the annual provincial panel data from 2000 to 2015 as samples in combination with Hansen threshold test method,the paper carries out the empirical analysisonthe nonlinear relationship between theprovincial S&T financial development and economic growthby takingtechnological innovation as the threshold variables and using double threshold model.The analysis results show that there is nonlinear relationship betweenthe provincial S&T financial development and economic growth;with the improvement of technological innovation,the positive correlationbetween the provincial S&T financial development and economic growth will be strengthened.The corresponding suggestions are put forward accordingly.