我国国内旅游收入影响因素的计量分析——基于1994—2010年的数据

摘要

Tourism as one of China＇s national economy, an important industry in our country＇s economic development has played a huge role, in order to promote better and faster development of the tourism industry, need to study the factors affecting tourism revenues. This paper seeks to China＇s 1994-2009 travel-related data, select the number of domestic tourists, urban and rural per capita expenditure on tourism, transport conditions are four factors, the use of Eviews3.1 software testing regression model parameters, and the use of stepwise regression method modified model, concluded that： the number of domestic tourism and rural tourism impact of per capita expenditure is a major factor in domestic tourism revenue.%旅游业作为我国国民经济的重要产业之一，在我国的经济建设中发挥了巨大的作用，为了促进旅游业更好更快地发展，需要研究旅游收入的影响因素。本文旨在根据我国1994-2010年的旅游相关数据，选取了国内旅游人数、城镇和农村人均旅游支出、交通运输状况四个因素，利用Eviews3．1软件对回归模型进行参数检验，并运用逐步回归法修正模型，结论表明：国内旅游人数和农村旅游人均支出是影响国内旅游收入的主要因素。最后文章提出了旅游业可持续发展的建议性意见。