农村金融发展与农业技术进步关系实证研究：以广东省为例

摘要

基于1982－2010年广东省统计数据，运用C－D生产函数模型和索洛余值法测算农业技术进步水平时间序列，结合农村金融发展衡量指标，实证分析农村金融发展与农业技术进步关系。结果表明：尽管广东农村金融发展与农业技术进步存在长期均衡协整关系，但二者仅具有单向格兰杰因果联系，即农业技术进步是农村金融发展效率的Granger原因，而农村金融发展规模和效率均不是农业技术进步的Granger原因。故广东农村金融发展与农业技术进步间良性互动机制尚未形成。%This empirical case study,on the basis of the statistical data of Guangdong Province (1 982-201 0),using the C-D pro-duction function model and Solow Residual Method,calculates the time series of the agricultural technology progress level of Guangdong Province in China and analyzes the relationship between rural financial development and agricultural technology progress,combining with the measurement index of rural financial development.The results show that there is only a one-way Granger causal relationship between Guangdong's rural financial development and agricultural technology progress despite a long-term equilibrium co-integration relationship between the two.That is,agricultural technology progress is the Granger cause of the efficiency of rural financial develop-ment,but rural financial development scale and the development efficiency are not the progress of agricultural technology Granger cause.A conclusion is thus drawn that the mechanism of benign interaction between rural financial development and agricultural tech-nology progress has not yet formed in Guangdong Province.