突发事件发生后，需要启动相应的应急预案来减少突发事件所带来的损失。根据灾害后果的不同，所启动的可能是一个预案，更可能是多个预案。为了使得启动的多个预案能够有效衔接，共同起到一个预案的作用，通过应急响应流程分析，首先，从基础概念出发对应急预案体系各要素的概念进行界定，理清各要素之间的相互关系，构建预案体系概念模型。其次，基于概念模型的要素和结构，采用网络的方法对预案体系进行抽象和分析，提出了预案体系的层次网络模型。最后给出了多预案模型整合流程和建模实例。研究结果表明，该模型不仅可以实现基于预案内容特征的流程的纵向整合，而且可以实现多个预案的横向整合，整合后的预案体系各类要素更完整，元素之间的关系更紧密，有效提高了预案体系的完备性，是实现预案修订以及有效性评估的基础。%After the emergencies occurr , it is necessary to start the emergency plan to reduce the disaster losses . Based on the difference of consequences of disasters , one or more emergency plans will be started .In order to make the started emergency plans effective convergence and play like a plan together , the integration oriented hi-erarchical network model of emergency plan system is proposed based on the analysis of the emergency process . Firstly, the basic conceptions and relationship of element of emergency plan system are analyzed and the concep -tual model of emergency plan system is presented .Secondly , based on the elements and structures of the concep-tual model, a hierarchical network model is presented .Finally, the building process of the integrated model and an example is given in order to illustrate the proposed model .The results show that the model not only aims at disaster consequence to achieve the integration modeling of the emergency process based on the content of emer -gency plan , but also achieves the integration modeling of multiple plans .The elements are more complete and the relationships between the elements are closer in the integrated model which improves the completeness of the emergency plan system effectively .The model provides basis for the revision and the effectiveness evaluation of emergency plans.
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