物流便捷程度对大宗农产品滞销的影响研究

摘要

In this paper, in view of the current status of the development of the logistics industry, we discussed the opportunity for the development of mass agricultural produce commerce brought by the logistics industry, then used the Granger causality quantification model to analyze the influence of logistics on the slow sell of mass agricultural produce commodities, established the theoretic analysis model of the influence of logistics facility on the slow moving mass agricultural produce commodities, and at the end, applied the model to an empirical analysis of the agricultural produce from Zhejiang.%针对物流产业的发展现状，探讨物流产业的发展为大宗农产品的发展带来的契机。运用格兰杰因果量化模型分析物流对大宗农产品滞销的影响效用，借助脉冲响应分析法和方差分析法，确定物流产业对大宗农产品滞销量的影响程度，构建物流便捷程度对大宗农产品滞销量的相关分析理论模型。选取浙江省农产品数据作为实证分析对象，通过实证检验，证实了在浙江省农产品滞销期物流产业对其具有一定的影响效用。