桥区水域失控船舶的航迹预测

摘要

桥区水域失控船舶不仅会引起重大水上交通事故的发生,也会对桥梁的安全造成隐患。本文通过失控船舶在桥区水域运动数学模型与支持向量机（SVM）算法在失控船舶航迹回归预测方法的对比分析,来研究失控船舶在风、流等自然条件下,在桥区水域的运动轨迹,为失控船舶航迹预测软件的研究提供理论依据。%Ships out of control in bridge waters can not only cause serious accidents,but also cause safety risks to bridges.Through comparative analysis on mathematical motion model of the out-of-control ship and forecast of the ship track based on SVM,this paper studies the track of the out-of-control ship in the wind,streams and other natural conditions to provide theoretical basis for the exploration of the software used to forecast the track of the ship.