研究群体性事件中群体内行为演变趋势的总体规律.基于元胞自动机概念和制度设计理论,引入元胞影响力和外力惩罚的概念,采用Matlab编程和图像处理技术对组织化群体中人们的行为状态进行模拟,得出影响力、行为初始比例和惩罚力度等因素与群体行为总体趋势之间的关系,根据模拟结果提出对于管理组织化群体有益的建议.%The general rules of group behavior evolution tendency in mass events were focused on. Based on the cellular automata (CA) and system design theory, considering the cellular influence and external punishment on CA system, with the using of Matlab programming and image processing technology, the people's behavior in an organized group was simulated, and the relationships among overall tendency, influence, original proportion and punishment index were worked out. Useful advices for managing organized groups were proposed.
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