安徽省规划达标地区重点流行村血吸虫病疫情风险评估

摘要

Objective To estimate the risk of schistosomiasis in the higher endemic villages programmed to reach transmission control or transmission interruption up to 2015 in Anhui province. Methods The data of prevalence situation in the higher endemic villages from 2008 to 2010 both in the counties programmed to reach the criteria or transmission control and transmission interruption "were collected. The endemic situations or the villages were analyzed according to the criteria or transmission control and transmission interruption. The risks of endemic situation of the villages for reaching the criteria were estimated according to the basis provided by Advisory Committee on Schistosomiasis, MOH. Results There were 577 villages with higher endemic situation taking up 30.6% or all the endemic villages in the counties programmed to reach transmission control. There were 34 villages with higher endemic situation taking up 35.4% of all the endemic villages in the counties programmed to reach transmission interruption. There were 663 villages with risk estimating value below 50 taking up 90.6% of all the endemic villages in the counties programmed to reach transmission control. There were 23 villages with risk estimating value between 50 and 70 taking up 95.8% of all the endemic villages in the counties programmed to reach transmission interruption. Conclusion In the counties programmed to reach transmission control,the risk of endemic situation was relatively smaller, and the target of transmission control can be realized so long as the comprehensive control strategies with emphasis on infectious source control are implemented. In the counties programmed to reach transmission interruption, the risk was relatively larger, and the target of transmission interruption is much more difficult to realize, and the targeted measures should be strengthened.%目的 评估安徽省规划达标地区重点流行村疫情风险.方法 分别收集规控县和规阻县2008～2010年间有关人群疫情、家畜疫情及螺情等数据,按照达标技术指标要求分析各流行村疫情状况,并按照卫生部疾病控制专家委员会血寄分委会提供的到2015年达传播控制和传播阻断流行村疫情风险评估依据,对各流行村疫情风险进行评估.结果 全省规控县实现"十二五"规划目标重点村尚有577个,占规控县流行村总数的30.6%;规阻县尚有34个重点村,占规阻县流行村总数的35.4%.规控县有663个流行村风险评估值在50分以下,占90.6%;规阻县23个流行村风险评估值集中在50～70分之间,占95.8%.结论 规控县疫情风险相对较小,只要认真实施以传染源控制为主的综合防治策略,规划目标较易实现;规阻县疫情风险较大,实现目标难度较大,需进一步加大有针对性的防治工作力度.