基于多元统计分析的通货膨胀水平的周期变动分析与综合测定

摘要

对通货膨胀的常用指标的周期变动及其综合测定进行探讨。首先利用多元逐步回归分析方法,建立了各物价指数的三角回归模型,进行了周期变动分析;然后利用因子分析法建立了通货膨胀水平的综合测定模型。文章对我国通货膨胀的变化状态作出了较好的分析。%This paper has discussed the period fluctuation and comprehensive measurement of the commonly used inflation indices. First, with the multivariate gradual regression analysis method, we built up the triangle re- gression model of each price index and analyzed their period fluctuation. Then, with the factor analysis method, we built up the comprehensive measurement model of inflation level. This paper provides a better analysis of the inflation in China.