基于灰色变权聚类的船舶应急疏散模型

摘要

To improve the ship evacuation efficiency and the port safety in emergency,the ship emergen-cy evacuation model is established based on the variable weight grey clustering where the various external interference factors influencing the ship evacuation order are considered. Ships can be classified into pre-defined levels according to their respective evacuation priority;the order of the ships with the same priori-ty can be determined by actual conditions. The case study shows that the model can reflect the actual sit-uation better. The model is of some reference value for port authorities to formulate the ship evacuation plan.%为提高紧急状态下港口船舶的疏散效率和港口的安全性，考虑影响船舶疏散顺序的多种外界干扰因素，建立基于灰色变权聚类的船舶应急疏散模型。该模型将船舶按疏散优先级归入预先设定的级别中，同优先级的船舶的疏散顺序依据具体实际情况确定。实例结果表明该模型能较好地反映实际情况。该模型对港口当局制定船舶疏散预案有一定参考意义。