中国服务贸易的门槛效应

摘要

服务贸易外溢作用的显现必然会受到以经济结构、人力资本及制度为代表的门槛因素的影响。为对门槛效应进行客观分析,分别选取三个变量以代表三个因素,就1990-2008期间数据进行实证分析。所得结果表明,经济结构和制度因素对服务贸易外溢作用的发挥产生一定的制约影响,而人力资本则是有利影响。%Spillover effects of trade in services will inevitably be impacted by threshold factors such like economic structure,human capital and institution as representative.To conduct an objective analysis of threshold effects,three variables were selected to represent the above three factors,we select the data from year of 1990 to 2008.The ultimate results show that economic structure and institutional factors play a constraining part on spillover effect of trade in services,while human capital has a beneficial effects.