Kaya公式的扩展和产业低碳化发展研究——以陕西交通运输业为例

摘要

将区域低碳化经济发展中广泛使用的Kaya公式引入产业低碳化发展研究中,对Kaya公式进行修正和扩展,把影响产业碳排放的因素分解为能源结构碳强度、规模产业能源强度、单位产出的产业规模比率和产业GDP,解决了产业低碳化发展中影响因素影响力的判断问题。以陕西交通运输业为例对研究方法的使用进行实例分析,得出节能是陕西交通运输业碳排放变化的决定性因素,实现二氧化碳排放减少首要的还是节能技术的推广、研发和有效的节能政策。%In this article,Kaya formula in the regional economic development of low carbonization is widely used in the development of Industrial Low-Carbonization.Factors affecting industrial carbon emissions are decomposed to carbon intensity of energy structure,scale industrial energy intensity,the industrial scale of per unit output and industrial GDP,which solves influence of influent factors in the Low-Carbonization Industry.Finally,it takes transportation industry in Shaanxi Province as an example to put forward policy suggestions.Energy saving and reduction of emission are the decisive factors in carbon emission.Primary policy is technology promotion and development of Energy saving and reduction of emission.