不完全信息四人帮模型的建设工程竞标合作均衡分析

摘要

Based on the principle of Game theory of KMRW reputation model with incomplete information,this paper established repeated dynamic game model of construction project bidding between two bidders.By setting irrational probability of two bidders,we analyzed and solved the perfect Bayesian equilibrium of the model and got the principle of the balance of co-operation between two bidders in a finite number of repeated Game theory.%建设工程投标报价决策中引入博弈论的精髓在于博弈中的一个理智决策者必须以考虑其他参与者的反应为基础来确定自身最理智的投标报价方案。应用信息不完全重复博弈的 KMRW“四人帮”声誉模型原理,通过设定两方竞标者的非理智概率 q,建立建设工程投标报价中两方投标者竞标的重复博弈模型,并对模型的精炼贝叶斯均衡进行求解及分析,得出两投标者在有限次重复博弈中的竞争合作规律,为企业竞标把握竞争合作规律提供理论参考。