2015年中美亚太新秩序博弈激烈复杂

摘要

The year 2015 witnessed the reshaping of the Asia-Pacific order and the rival between many international players,including China,U.S,Japan,ASEAN,India and Russia,featuring the gaming between the US-Japan alliance and China-Russia Partnership.The focus of this revival occurs between U.S and China. The Obama administration intended to obtain or maintain its predominance in the Asia-Pacific region by strengthening its military projection,economic offensives,taking advantage of the South China Sea disputes. China tried to maximize its economic prowess and security capacity for new initiatives in the regions.By virtue of multilateral instruments,U.S and China compete in the new Asia-Pacific economic order basically on equal footings.They compete in the new Asia-Pacific security order with the South China Sea as the focus,and China now mainly assumes defensives.%2015年是亚太秩序深刻重塑与大国博弈激烈复杂的重要一年。亚太格局呈现为六大力量即中、美、日、东盟、印度和俄罗斯，美日同盟与中俄战略协作两大“集群”此消彼长，中美博弈成为左右亚太格局的主要矛盾。美国奥巴马政府着力“转向亚太”，强化军事优势，加强经济攻势，投机取巧利用中国与邻国的海洋领土争端，竭力谋求亚太秩序主导权。中国扎实经略周边，发挥经济特长，强化安全能力，力争亚太秩序主动权。中美以地区多边机制为工具、复杂博弈亚太经济新秩序，呈现“分庭抗礼”之势。中美以南海为焦点、激烈博弈亚太安全新秩序，呈现“美攻中守”之势。