科技创新与金融结构的协同演化研究--来自美国的经验证据

摘要

通过对科技创新与金融结构的协同演化机理和特征的分析，构建了科技创新与金融结构有序度模型与复合系统协同度模型，并利于美国的年度时间序列数据对二者之间的协同演化关系进行了实证研究。结论表明，美国科技创新与金融结构复合系统的协同度波动较大，并且与美国经济周期的波动呈现高度的正相关，为Perez提出的技术革命与金融资本演化过程中的“技术-经济”范式转变规律提供了实证依据。%Through the analysis on mechanism of co-evolution and characteristics of Sci-tech innovation and financial structure,this paper construct their order degree model of subsystem and co-evolution degree model of complex system.And then Based on these models,we use years of annual time-series data of USA to take empirical study on the relationship between Sci-tech innovation and financial structure.Conclusions show that co-evolution degree of complex system of Sci-tech innovation and financial structrue is fluctuating severely ,which provides an empirical evidence for the paradigm shfit of "technology-economy"what Perez had been put forward when she studied the evolutionary relationship between technology revolution and financial capital.