珠江-西江经济带城镇化协调度分析

摘要

从人口城镇化与土地城镇化两方面构建评价指标体系，使用主成分分析法确定指标权重值并在此基础上计算城市的人口城镇化指数与土地城镇化指数，利用协调度模型和协调类型评价标准，探寻珠江—西江经济带城市城镇化协调度类型及其特质。研究发现：区域总体人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调度非均衡性显著，不仅广东、广西两省区之间城镇化协调度差距较大，各省份内部城市之间也存在较大差距。为缩小各城市之间的发展差距，应在保持协调度较高的城市人口城镇化与土地城镇化条件下，增强落后城市城镇化协调发展能力，这是目前解决珠江—西江经济带城镇化发展失衡问题的关键。%The thesis establishes the evaluation criterion in terms of population and land urbanization,uses the principal component analysis method to define the index weight and further work out the urbanization index of the population and land in the cities,which applies the evaluation criterion of the coordination degree model and coordination type to quest for the types and characteristics of the coordination degree in the Pearl River—Xijiang River economic belt.The study finds that the disequilibrium is rather evident in the coordination degree of the regional total population and land urbanization.Not only does a large gap exist in the coordination degree of urbanization between Guangdong and Guangxi,but also in the cities of other provinces.In order to narrow the gap among the cities,the government needs to improve the coordinated development in the undeveloped cities on the condition that maintains the development in those well-coordinated developed cities,which becomes the key to solving the current disequilibrium in the urbanization of the Pearl River—Xijiang River economic belt.