中国玉米出口量影响因素研究--基于 OLS 方法的需求与供给分析

摘要

From the perspective of the international market supply and demand , this article uses OLS method to analyze the factors influencing the corn exports during 1980-2010 of China .The study finds out the domestic price level ,the price in the international market and the exchange rate have positive influences on the corn exports ,the domestic demand for feed has negative influences on the exports of corn ,and the inputs of substitute products have weekly negative influences on the corn exports .%从国际市场的供需角度入手，利用OLS方法对中国1980～2010年的玉米出口量的影响因素进行了实证分析。研究发现：国内物价水平、国际市场价格和汇率对玉米的出口量具有较大的正向影响，国内对饲料的需求量对玉米出口有较大的负影响；替代性产品的进口量对玉米出口量有微弱的负影响。