太空体系弹性评估方法综述

摘要

In recent years, US forces take resilience as an essential guideline for the construction of the space system.Therefore, it is urgent to answer such a basic question: how to properly assess the resilience of a space system? Firstly, the definition and application of resilience are discussed based on document analysis, and the typical related assessment methods are summarized and classified with qualitative and quantitative methods.Secondly, a series of existing space resilience assessment methods are summarized and compared.It is concluded that these methods are mostly acquired with appropriate modification of those used in the engineering area.Taking the space system feature into account, future researchers are expected to enhance the research of the following basic issues, such as resilience assessment principles, assessment process, index systems and computing methods, so as to construct a complete resilience assessment framework.%美军近年来将弹性作为构建太空体系的基本原则之一,科学合理地评估太空体系的弹性能力成为迫切需要回答的一个基本问题.采用文献分析法对广义的弹性定义、应用领域进行了研究,并按定性评估和定量评估两大类别对典型的评估方法进行了介绍和分析.对现有的太空体系弹性评估方法进行了梳理和对比分析,指出现有的太空体系弹性评估方法都是在工程系统弹性评估方法上进行适当修改获得的,下一步应结合太空体系特点,加强太空体系弹性评估原则、过程、指标体系、计算方法等基本问题的研究,构建完整的弹性评估方法体系.