首页> 中文期刊> 《工程管理学报》 >基于风险视角的国际PPP项目投标决策模型研究

基于风险视角的国际PPP项目投标决策模型研究

         

摘要

构建一个规范化的投标决策模型,将有利于国际PPP项目投资者投标决策的科学性和有效性。根据国际PPP项目的特点,以风险管理为视角,在系统分析投标决策影响因素的基础上,构建出国际 PPP 项目投标决策模型。该模型主要包括投标决策流程和辅助投标决策的计算工具两个部分,投资者采用该模型能够得到各个风险因素的重要性排序、项目的整体风险水平和企业对风险的控制与承受能力评价结果,并以此作为科学决策的依据。并通过算例演示了该模型在国际 PPP 项目投标决策中应用的可行性和适用性。%A standardized bidding decision model is believed to be great helpful for making scientific and effective bido bid decision by the international public private partnership(PPP)projects bidders. In this paper,we propose a risk-based bido bid decision model for such projects based on the systematic analysis of factors affecting the bido bid decision. This model contains two parts:decision making procedure and evaluation method. The procedure guides bidders to make optimal decisions under uncertainty. We use fuzzy analytic network process(F-ANP)as a evaluation method. The results from this model provide a reliable decision support for PPP bidders by giving levels of importance of risk factors,overall risk levels,and bidders’ abilities to control and bear risks. Finally,we give a numerical example to demonstrate the feasibility and applicability of our model.

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