基于城乡二元经济结构的中国居民消费率分析

摘要

1978—2009年中国最终消费率的下降由居民消费率主导。基于城乡差距和城市化水平的实证分析表明,在其他条件不变情况下,居民消费率分别与农村居民消费率、城乡居民消费差距、城市化水平和农村居民平均消费倾向正相关,与城乡居民收入差距负相关。应通过提高农村居民消费率、扩大城镇消费规模、推进城市化进程、缩小城乡居民收入差距等途径,提高居民消费率。%The reduction of consumption rate of China from 1978 to 2009 was caused by the decrease of con- sumption rata of residents （CRR）. The positive analysis based on the difference between urban and rural areas and urbanization will indicate that CRR has a positive correlation with consumption rate of rural residents （CRRr）, differences of consumption between urban and rural residents（Dcs）, urbanization rate（UR）, while has a negative correlation with difference of income between urban and rural residents （Din）. We should improve CRRr, increase consumption of urban residents, promote urbanization, and reduce Din, in order to raise CRR.