基于面板单位根方法的经济增长收敛性检验

摘要

Based on random definition of economic convergence, whether convergence hypothesis is rational is tested by panel unit root method on per capita real GDP data during 1960-2003 in 99 countries and regions, the test results show that absolute convergence hypothesis is not proper for all countries group, in the whole period （ 1960-2003 ）,OECD countries and EU countries have obvious condition convergence phenomena, APEC countries also have significant condition convergence phenomena during 1989-2003.%在给出经济收敛性的随机定义的基础上,通过对99个国家和地区从1960到2003年44年的人均实际GDP数据进行面板单位根检验来验证收敛性假说是否成立。检验结果表明,绝对收敛性假说对所有的国家群体均不成立;在整个时间段（1960-2003）上OECD国家和EU国家和在APEC成立后（1989-2003）的APEC国家都出现明显的条件收敛迹象。