基于灰色投影寻踪分类模型的科技服务企业财务风险评价

摘要

针对科技服务企业的特点,从财务资本、人力资本、技术创新能力三个维度构建系统全面的财务风险评价指标体系.运用灰色投影寻踪分类模型对科技服务企业财务风险进行评价,进一步运用灰色预测模型对2016年财务风险进行预测,综合分析科技服务企业2011-2016年财务风险的发展趋势,在此基础上对企业财务风险防范提出对策建议.文章理论上构建了更为系统全面的财务风险评价指标体系,实践上为一维统计方法解决高维问题提供了参考依据.%According to the features of science and technology service enterprises, a systematic and comprehensive financial risk assessment index system is constructed from three dimensions:the financial capital,human capital and technological innovation ability.By gray projection pursuit classification model, the financial risk of science and technology service enterprises is evaluated, the financial risk in 2016 is further predicted based on gray prediction model, the development trend of financial risk from 2011 to 2016 is comprehensively analyzed, based on which some countermeasures are proposed.This paper theoretically constructs a more systematic and comprehensive financial risk assessment index system and practically provides references for one-dimensional statistical method to solve high-dimensional problems.