基于林业统计数据,运用复合系统协同度模型,对新一轮集体林权制度改革在全国范围推行以来我国林业现代化发展的协同度进行实证分析。研究结果表明:(1)林业系统现代化发展的协同度不高,但呈现波动上升演变态势;(2)林业子系统发展的有序度由高到低依次是产业经济子系统、社会文化子系统、建设保障子系统、生态资源子系统;(3)影响林业现代化协同发展方向和程度的关键因素是建设保障子系统。在此基础上提出了促进我国林业现代化协同发展的对策建议。%Based on the forestry statistical data of china, and by using complex system coordination degree model, an empirical analysis on the collaborative degree of China’s forestry modernization development has been conducted since the new round of collective forest right system reform at the national level was carried out in China. The results show that ifrstly, the synergy degree of forestry system in China was not high, and show an fluctuated upward evolution trend;secondly, the orderly development degree of forestry subsystem from high to low in turn were:industry and economic subsystem, social and cultural subsystem, construction of security subsystem, ecological resources subsystem;thirdly, the key factor that influenced forestry modernization direction and degree of synergy development should constructed a security service subsystem. Based on the research conclusion, some feasible suggestions which may promote the modernization coordinated development of forestry complex system in China are proposed.
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