基于系统动力学的农业订单融资研究--以奶牛养殖订单融资为例

摘要

Recent years supply chain finance has developed rapidly as a kind of finance innovation in the world.Agricultural order financing comes into being in china.Based on system Dynamics method from the perspective of quantitative analysis,this paper creates dynamics model of order financing of dairy farming and analyzes the dynamic characteristic of the system and the effects on performence of supply chain.Then by the simulation,this article analyzes the setting of the related parameters of agricultural order financing.At last, some suggestions are provided for improving the development of agricultural order financing.%近年来，随着供应链金融在全球的迅猛发展，中国农业订单融资应运而生，但对其研究尚待深入。从定量研究的角度，运用系统动力学方法，以奶牛养殖订单融资为例，建立奶牛养殖订单融资系统动力学模型，探讨农业订单融资运作的动态特性及其对供应链绩效的影响并通过模拟仿真分析农业订单融资相关参数的设定。最后，提出促进中国农业订单融资发展的具体建议。