加入WTO后中国农业安全度的定量评价

摘要

By using multi-indexes system method, the safety degree of agriculture in China during 2002 -2010 were evaluated quantitatively from four aspects of industrial international competitiveness, industrial export and import dependence degree on foreign, industrial foreign stock control rate, and were compared with data before entering in WTO. The results showed that after entering into WTO, safety degree of China agriculture during 2003 -2009 decreased slightly. Causes for unsafety factors increasing in China agriculture were analyzed, and several corresponding countermeasures were put forward.%采用多指标体系分析方法,从产业国际竞争力、产业出口对外依存度、产业进口对外依存度、产业外资股权控制率4个方面对2002～2009年中国农业安全度进行定量评价,并与加入WT0前的数据进行对比.结果表明,加入WTO后,2002～2009年,中国农业的安全度虽然有所下降,但中国农业仍然是“基本安全”,接近“不安全”的边缘,因为有一些不安全因素增加.由此,分析了加入WTO后中国农业不安全因素增加的原因,并提出了相应的化解对策.