Based on the questionnaire survey of farmers in Nanjing city, the paper analyzes the influencing factors of farmers' willingness joining professional cooperatives with Binary Logistic model. Results show that variable factors such as: labors, degrees of education, levels of awareness, development of judgments, have positive relation to the willingness of farmers joining professional cooperatives; gender and financial demands are negative related to willingness of farmers joining professional cooperatives; variable factors, such as ages, degrees of education, numbers of farmers, scale of land, generation experience, specific investment and fluctuations of prices, the estimated parameters of which are not significant. At last, the paper points out that the 2 important ways in accelerating the development of profe ssional cooperatives are: the first is to accelerate the capital accumulation of advanced farmers and strengthen the scaled degrees of agricultural management. The second is to promote the information and techniques accumulation speed of professional farmers to strengthen people's awareness and confidence.%基于南京市的农户问卷调查,采用Binaty Logistic模型,剖析了农户加入专业合作社意愿的影响因素.结果表明,外出打工人数、专业化程度、认知程度、发展判断等变量与农户参与合作社的意愿正相关,户主性别以及财政要求与农户参与合作社的意愿负相关;户主年龄、文化程度、务农人数、农地规模、生产经验、专门投入和价格波动等变量的估计参数不显著.最后提出农民专业合作社拓宽发展空间的重要路径应该在于:第一,促进农业资源向优势农户集中,增强农业经营的规模化水平;第二,促进信息及技术向专业农户集中,以增强农民对专业合作社的认知及信心.
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