基于风险决策的区域防空部署方案优选方法

摘要

空情的不确定性是区域防空部署的重要影响因素之一。每一种空情下对应一个最优部署方案，为了综合各空情下的最优部署方案得到适应各种不同空情的最优方案，通过分析，将不确定空情下的区域防空部署方案优选问题转化为一个多目标决策问题，构建风险决策的优势准则和 E-V 准则，并给出了一种基于风险决策的区域防空部署方案优选方法，案例分析表明：该方法具有模型简单、计算方便的优点，适用于需要快速对部署方案做出决策的场合。%The uncertainty in air attack is one of the important factors interfering with the disposition of area air-defense operation,and every situation of air attack corresponds with one optimum disposition scheme. In order to synthesize the optimum schemes under conditions of every air-combat,this paper transforms the uncertainty of air attack into a multi-object decision problem by analysis,proposes the superiority and E-V criterion,and a method of optimum selection for disposition schemes based on risk decision.The re-sult indicates that the method is simple in model designis,for calculating,and suitable for quick decision-making in disposing troops for battle.