河南省农业产业结构调整与农业机械化灰色关联分析

摘要

By using the gray correlation analysis model , it analyzed the industial structure adjustment of agriculture and the agriculture mechanization from 1978 to 2008 in henan provinc .The result showed that there is a close relationship between the industial structure adjustment of agriculture and the agriculture mechanization .It is the sort of planting , hus-bandry ,forestry and fishery .The development of planting industry in Henan province for the biggest role to promote agri-cultural mechanization development , but the gray incidence degree between the two have been reducing year by year for the problem for the agriculture and mechanical inefficiency .Based on results , it put forward the development of agricul-tural machinery in Henan province .The government in formulating policies related is to consider the quantity and quality of agricultural structure , rely on to coordinate and solve the various contradictions in the process of agricultural develop-ment.%利用灰色关联分析法对河南省1978-2008年的面板数据、河南省农业产业结构与农业机械化关系进行分析。结果表明，农业产业结构调整与农业机械化之间存在密切的关系，排序情况为：种植业、牧业、林业和渔业。河南省种植业的发展对于农业机械化发展的推动作用最大，但是二者之间的关联度由于“三农”问题、机械化效率等问题的影响在逐年降低。为此，对河南省农业机械发展提出了建议：政府在制定相关的政策时要考虑农机数量和结构化质量的提要，依靠协调解决农业发展进程中的各种矛盾关系。