基于ISM的核电站公众接受性模糊层次综合评价

摘要

On the basis of existing researches , the influence factors of public acceptance to nuclear power plant are summarized .By applying the method of interpretative structural modeling ( ISM) , the main influ-ence factors of public acceptance to nuclear power plant are identified such that an evaluation index system is constructed .With Daya Bay nuclear power plant in Guangdong as an example , its public acceptance is evaluated by applying the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process ( AHP) comprehensive evaluation method .It is concluded that the public acceptance to Daya Bay nuclear power plant is at the average level .There are some deficiencies in cognition , emotion, intention, trust, and participation in the controllability .As a so-lution, the Daya Bay nuclear power plant should take measures to improve the level of public acceptance . These measures include popularizing nuclear power plant knowledge , establishing the linkage news release mechanism , strengthening supervision and management , intensifying communication with the public , im-proving public participation , and so on .%在借鉴已有研究的基础上，归纳了核电站公众接受性影响因素，运用解释结构模型法（ISM）从中识别核电站公众接受性的主要影响因素，据此构建涵盖主要影响因素的核电站公众接受性评价指标体系。以广东大亚湾核电站为例，运用模糊层次综合评价法对其公众接受性进行综合评价，得出大亚湾核电站的整体公众接受性处于一般水平，在认知因素、情感因素、意图因素、信任因素、参与可控制性等方面存在着不足。据此，大亚湾核电站需要在核电站知识普及、建立联动新闻发布机制、强化监督管理、加强与民众沟通、提高民众参与性等方面制定提升公众接受性措施。