中国水貂皮价格波动及影响因素研究

摘要

通过H-P滤波法分析中国水貂皮价格波动,表明中国水貂皮价格呈现波动频率高、振幅大;运用因子分析法对影响水貂皮价格的因素实证分析,表明皮革和毛皮产业固定投资、毛皮和人造毛皮及其制品进口额、高收入群体收入水平、人民币对美元汇率、毛皮和人造毛皮及其制品出口额与国内水貂皮价格的相关性较高,渔业产品生产价格指数和貉子皮价格的相关性次之.%The price of mink in our country is characterized by high-frequency fluctuations and large amplitude according to the results analyzed by Hodrick-Prescott filter. Factor analysis method is used to make empirical analysis of the influence factors on the price of mink. The results show that there is a high correlation between domestic price of mink and factors like fixed investment in leather and fur industry, amounts of imports of fur and artificial fur and their products, income level of high-income group, RMB exchange rate against US dollar, amounts of exports of fur and artificial fur and their products, besides, producer price index of fishing products takes the second place.