南芬-万宝地区是辽东钼、铜、铅锌等多金属矿聚集地.在充分研究区内成矿规律的前提下,以MAPGIS软件为数据处理平台,提取区域地质、地球物理、地球化学等13个空间控矿因素作为证据因子；以划分网格单元的方式对成矿多元信息进行叠加整合,建立证据权重模型；以后验概率求拐点的方法圈定I级远景区13处,Ⅱ级远景区10处,Ⅲ级远景区7处.预测结果表明,83％的矿床(点)位于成矿预测远景区内.除此之外,区内仍有3处I级预测远景区内未见矿床(点),应作为今后找矿勘查的重点.%Nanfen-wanbao area is the concentrated zone for the polymetal deposits of molybdenum, copper, lead-zinc, etc. In Eastern Liaoning Province. Based on the study of regional metallogenic regularity, with MAPGIS software for data processing platform, 13 spatial ore-controlling factors, such as regional geology, geophysics and geochemistry, are extracted as evidence factors. The multiple metallogenic information is integrated by grid-setting to establish the evidence weighting model. By the way of posterior probability for inflexion, 13 perspective areas of Grade I, 10 of Grade II and 7 of Grave III are delineated. The result shows that 83% of deposits (occurrences) are located in the predicted perspective areas. It is worth noting that neither deposits nor occurrences have been found yet in 3 of the Grade I predicted perspective areas, which should be the key prospecting areas in the future.
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