我国体育用品制造业发展的影响因素研究

摘要

This paper analyzed the status of Sports Goods Manufacturing Industry , and empirically analyzed Factors Affecting the Development of Chinese Sports Goods Manufacturing by multiple linear regression , and, finally, made recommendations for the development of China's sports goods industry.The results showed that: both of sporting goods manufacturing output and net exports revealed comparative advantage ( NERCA) index decreased in 2012;the rise of labor costs would be helpful to sporting goods manufacturing output and export trade ;the rise of net ex-ports revealed comparative advantage (NERCA) index, trade openness, and the US dollar against the RMB ex-change rate may be not conducive to the improvement of China's sports goods manufacturing output;the rise of net exports revealed comparative advantage ( NERCA) index and trade openness would be good for China's sports goods manufacturing exports;the rise of the US dollar against the RMB exchange rate could be unfavorable to China 's ex-ports of sports goods manufacturing industry.Recommendations:sporting goods companies should increase R&D in-vestment;the government had better to develop the sporting goods industry development policy , optimize the trade environment , and establish a stable financial environment.%通过分析我国体育用品制造业发展现状，利用多元线性回归方法实证分析影响我国体育用品制造业发展的因素，并为我国体育用品制造业的发展提出建议。结果表明：2012年体育用品制造业的产值和净出口显性比较优势指数均下降；劳动力成本上升有利于体育用品制造业总产值和出口贸易；净出口显性比较优势指数、贸易开放度、美元兑人民币汇率的上升不利于我国体育用品制造业总产值提高；净出口显性比较优势指数、贸易开放度的上升有利于我国体育用品制造业出口；美元兑人民币汇率上升对我国体育用品制造业出口非常不利。建议：体育用品企业加大研发投入；政府制定体育用品业发展政策，优化贸易环境，稳定金融环境。