中国经济经历了30多年的快速发展，劳动力成本明显提高，资本投资效率逐渐下降，在技术进步未显著改善的情况下，传统的依靠低成本、高投入的粗放型发展模式正受到越来越多的挑战，未来中国潜在增长率下行压力增大。然而，随着中国由低收入国家向中等收入国家迈进，经济社会结构已步入深度转型期，经济增长的动力结构、产业结构、区域结构、城市化进程等结构性因素正经历着内生变化，结构性因素对未来中国潜在增长率走势将产生重要影响。%After the more than 30 years rapid development of China’s economic, the China’s labor cost improved significantly and capital investment efficiency gradually decline. On the condition of Techno-logical progress has not improved significantly, the traditional extensive development pattern which was low cost and high investment had faced the more and more challenges, and the potential growth rate got a downward pressure in future China. However, as the follows that the China was towards from the low-income countries to middle-income countries, the economic society structure had been to the tran-sition in depth degree. The structural factors as power structure, industrial structure, regional structure and urbanization process were going through the endogenous changes. The structural factors will affect the future potential growth rate trend significantly in China.
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