IPCC 排放因子法探究 CO2排放量

摘要

this research explored the CO2 emissions from fossil fuels in Zhejiang and Guizhou province within the time period from 2005 to 2012 by IPCC emission factor method. In addition,CO2 / GDP was also investigated to discuss the relationship between CO2 emission and economic development. The outcomes showed,CO2 emissions from the two areas have been increasing linearly over the past 8 years. However,CO2 / GDP displayed descending trends in the two provinces. This indicates that, with technical innovation and efficiency improvement,fossil fuels consumption is on its way to sus-tainable development. Generally speaking,the economic status of Zhejiang is much better than that of Guizhou. This is not only reflected on its higher economic volume,but also due to its lower CO2 /GDP. In addition,Guizhou has also made great progress in its sustainable economic development, reflected by its rising GDP and decreasing CO2 / GDP during this period. However,huge space for its further improvement still remains in terms of sustainable development.%本课题收集了浙江省和贵州省2005—2012年的化石能源消耗量相关数据，运用 IPCC 排放因子法计算了两省的 CO2排放情况，并结合两省经济数据，考查了单位 GDP CO2排放量。结果显示，两省 CO2排放量均为线性增长趋势，而两省的单位 GDP CO2排放量却逐渐降低。说明随着经济的发展，生产技术的改革，效率的提高，化石能源的消耗逐步迈入了可持续发展的道路。综合看来，浙江省经济的发展要优于贵州省，这不仅体现在经济总量远远高于贵州省，而且其单位 GDP CO2排放量低于贵州省。另外，贵州省经济状况虽然落后，但是从其不断上升的 GDP 总量和不断下降的单位 GDP CO2排放量可知，其经济发展处于不断进步阶段。贵州省在可持续经济发展道路上取得的成绩是毋庸置疑的，继续提升的空间也是巨大的。