基于三次指数平滑模型的雾霾天气分析与预测

摘要

In this paper, by establishment of cubic exponential smoothing model, indicators concerning the amount of sulfur dioxide and dust emitted from 2002 to 2012 in China and the total investment in environmental pollution control are analyzed. Therefore, it is concluded that in the coming three years, frequent occurrence of haze weather will be still possible in China. Then, related cause analysis is performed accordingly.%通过建立三次指数平滑模型，分析2002～2012年我国二氧化硫和烟尘的排放量以及每年在环境污染治理方面的投资总额等指标，得出未来3年内我国雾霾天气仍会频发的结论，并究其原因进行了分析。