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我国天然气市场'淡季不淡'抑或重回'黄金时代'

     

摘要

China's gas consumption was registered 13% in the first half of 2017 and esp. Q2, the traditional off-season witnessed strong gas demand growth, in a sharp contrast with the past two years. It is believed that some new driving forces have been established for China's gas market. Natural gas market reform will effectively release the market demand, environmental protection is expected to continue to be promoted. Natural gas is expected to maintain relative to coal and oil. The supply side reform and industrial restructuring will boost the demands. China's natural gas market will enter into a "golden era" and keep double-digit growth in the next 5~10 years. To cope with the increasingly serious seasonal imbalance between supply and demand, gas market players should take the respective peak-shaving responsibility, gas suppliers should strengthen communication and coordination, and the government should establish an enduring effective mechanism for gas supply stability.%2017年上半年,我国天然气市场形势一片大好,二季度呈现明显的"淡季不淡"特征,一改过去两年消费增速较低的形势.展望未来几年,推动天然气市场发展的新动能已基本确立.天然气市场化改革红利将有效释放市场需求,环保力度有望持续推进,天然气相对煤、油比价水平有望保持,供给侧改革与产业结构调整提振老需求、催生新需求,未来5~10年,我国天然气市场或将重回"黄金时代".针对日益加剧的季节性供需矛盾,天然气市场主体应承担各自的调峰责任,供应商之间也需加强沟通协调,最终形成保障天然气稳定供应的长效机制.

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