华中三省碳排放与经济增长脱钩分析--基于LYQ框架的实证

摘要

文章以华中地区的河南、湖北、湖南三省碳排放为研究对象，运用LYQ分析框架对2001-2010年间三省碳排放与经济增长之间脱钩指标进行因果链分解并进行指标测评，结果显示三省大部分年份经济增长与碳排放呈现弱脱钩的状态，碳排放的增长速度小于地区 GDP 的增长速度，能源利用效率的提高对碳排放增长速度的减缓起到了主要作用；而价值创造弹性成为阻碍脱钩的主要因素，因此未来三省要发展低碳经济需主要在优化产业结构、大力发展低耗能高附加值的产业上做努力。%　　The paper studies the carbon emissions of Henan,Hubei and Hunan Provinces in central China. The LYQ framework is adopted in this paper to make causal chain decomposition and index evaluation on the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth of each province from 2001 to 2010. The result showed that most years,in this three provinces,economic growth and carbon emissions has a weak decoupled state,and the carbon emissions growth speed is less than the regional GDP growth rate. Higher energy efficiency played a major role to slow the growth speed of carbon emissions;and the value creation elas⁃ticity is the main factor to hinder decoupling. So in the future,these three provinces,which want to develop low-carbon econo⁃my,should make efforts on optimizing industrial structure and developing low-energy high-value-added industry vigorously.