服务消费结构升级的国际经验及其启示

摘要

The rules of resident＇s consumption structure upgrading from the experience of United States,Japan and Korea indicate that the general path of trading up is from low to high.Service Consumption represents the final trend.Nowadays,China is in the start of its bloom.But the urban and rural are in the different stage because of the dual economy.The accelerating wage inflation attributing to the end of infinite labor supply,the accelerating of urbanization and the gradient characteristic of population structure will be a large endogenous growth engine for China＇s service consumption.%以美、日、韩为代表的发达国家居民消费结构升级经验表明,居民消费结构升级的趋势主要按照＂衣食—住行—康乐＂的路径进行,服务消费代表消费升级的最终趋势。我国现阶段总体上已开启向服务消费升级的阶段,但由于城乡＂二元＂结构差异,城乡居民处于不同的消费升级阶段。随着劳动力无限供给终结后工资的加速增长、城市化进程的加快以及人口结构梯度变化特征,未来我国服务性消费将面临内生性增长动力。