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An Investment Decision Support System for Process Industries

机译:流程工业投资决策支持系统

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摘要

Most studies on investment evaluation mainly focus on enterprise economic benefits only, without process operability and sustainability considered. In this paper, we suggest that investment evaluation in process industries should be executed under three strategic objectives--enterprise benefits, social benefits and customer benefits. A systematic investment evaluation and decision-making method with a four-step procedure based on the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is proposed to evaluate various qualitative and quantitative elements with various criteria. At the first step, the decision hierarchy is constructed under the three strategic objectives. Second, pair-wise comparison is utilized to evaluate the weights of elements and criteria. Third, qualitative elements are quantified by pair-wise comparison and quantitative elements are re-scaled by a uniform criterion. At the last, the best choice is made through synthesizing values upward in the hierarchy. An investment decision support system (DSS) is developed based on Microsoft Excel, and applied to a retrofit investment of united fluid catalytic cracking(FCC) and liquefied gas separation process in a refinery plant.
机译:大多数有关投资评估的研究都只关注企业的经济利益,而没有考虑流程的可操作性和可持续性。在本文中,我们建议对过程工业的投资评估应在三个战略目标下进行:企业收益,社会收益和客户收益。提出了一种基于层次分析法(AHP)的四步系统投资评估与决策方法,以各种标准对各种定性和定量要素进行评估。第一步,在三个战略目标下构建决策层次。其次,利用成对比较来评估元素和标准的权重。第三,定性元素通过成对比较进行定量,定量元素通过统一标准进行重新定标。最后,最佳选择是通过在层次结构中向上综合值来做出的。基于Microsoft Excel开发了投资决策支持系统(DSS),并将其应用于炼油厂联合流化催化裂化(FCC)和液化气分离工艺的改造投资。

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