陆地边疆省份旅游发展与经济增长的互动效应研究：基于面板数据的Granger因果检验

摘要

本文基于1994－2014年的中国陆地边疆九省份的面板数据，通过面板单位根和面板格兰杰（ Granger）因果检验，对以旅游收入和游客人数为指标的旅游发展与区域经济增长之间的互动效应进行了系统考察。研究发现，不论从哪个指标角度来看，旅游业的发展都对陆地边疆地区整体的经济拉动作用明显。然而，旅游发展与经济增长互动效应的区域差异明显，东北陆地边疆地区的互动效应显著，而西南和西北陆地边疆地区的互动效应较弱。%Based on the panel data from 1994-2014 of China’ s nine provinces in the border areas, this paper carries out systemic research on the interactive effect between tourism development and regional economic growth, depending on the indexes of tourism income and number of tourists through Panel Unit Root and Panel Granger Causality Test� The results show that for the nine provinces in the border areas as a whole, the feedback hypothesis is supported with the index of domestic tourism income and tourists, while the growth hypothesis holds with the index of international tourism income and tourists� However, comparing with the interactive effect of southwest and northwest, the interactive effect between tourism development and economic growth of northeast is more apparent.