未来全球钴资源供应形势分析

摘要

钴性质优良，用途广泛，是重要的战略性矿产。我国是钴原料进口大国，未来全球钴供应形势对中国资源安全至关重要。本文从资源状况入手，回顾了钴生产历史，指出影响钴产量的主要因素，在对大量矿山信息收集、处理的基础上，对一次资源供应和二次资源供应进行深入分析，预测2025年精炼钴产量将达到24．6万t。然而，铜矿和镍矿生产、刚果（金）矿业政策及政局变化、市场因素都将对未来钴供应产生重要影响。%Cobalt has many good properties with many applications ,and it is an important strategic mineral .China has been a great importer of the cobalt raw materials and in the future global supply situation is of crucial importance for China's resource security .This paper starts from resource status ,reviews the cobalt production history ,and points out the main factors which influence the production of cobalt .Then we make an in-depth analysis of primary and secondary resources supply on the basis of collecting and processing a large number of mine information ,we also predict that refined cobalt output will reach 246 thousand tons in 2025 .