林业固定资产投资的滞后经济效应分析

摘要

投资是林业发展的基本驱动力之一，辨明林业投资与林业发展的时序关系具有重要意义。通过对我国林业固定资产投资的滞后经济效应进行分析，发现我国林业投资与林业产值总体上呈现出明显的耦合增长态势，林业投资对林业产值的影响存在显著的滞后效应，其中远期效应最强，近期效应次之，中期效应最弱。研究结果为制定科学的林业投资策略提供了依据。%Investment is one of the fundamental driving forces on forestry development, ano it is meanlngtux to identify the timing relationship between forestry investment and forestry development. The paper analyzed lagging economic effect of forestry fixed assets investment of China. The result showed there is a significant coupled growth between forestry investment and forestry output, and the investment＇s lagging effect is obvious. Long-term effect is the most powerful, the recent effect is the second and medium-term effect is the weakest. The results provided some scientific basis for making forestry, investment strategy.