突发性水污染事故应急健康风险评价

摘要

Based on the health risk assessment theory of US NAS (U.S. National Research Council of National Academy of Science)’, a four-step of methodological framework of emergency health risk assessment of water pollution accidents that includes hazard identification, dose-response assessment, exposure assessment and risk characterization was developed. Considering the characteristics of short term, high dose exposure of the sudden water pollution accidents, the method specified for acute reference concentration was proposed, as well as quotient method and probability distribution of quotients were recommended for risk characterization and classification. The Songhua River nitrobenzene water pollution accident was used as an example for verifying the feasibility of the framework of emergency health risk assessment of sudden water pollution accident. Acute reference concentration of nitrobenzene to protect the health of adults and children was calculated by using present method and the value was 0.175and 0.05mg/L, respectively. Risk percentage of the nitrobenzene water accident was 29%and 62%, and the risk grade was middle and high, respectively. The results showed that acute health risk of water pollution accident can be characterized by this emergency health risk assessment. Finally, the difficulties in China carrying out emergency health risk assessment of water accident were discussed, and some suggestions were given.%基于US NAS健康风险评价理论,构建包括危害鉴别、剂量效应评价、暴露评价和风险表征4部分内容的突发性水污染事故应急健康风险评价技术体系.该技术体系充分考虑突发性水污染事故污染物对于人体健康“短时间、高剂量”的暴露特点,提出了突发性水污染事故污染物应急参考浓度的计算方法,以健康危害商值定性描述突发性水污染事故的健康风险,并通过统计推断健康危害商值的概率分布定量描述突发性水污染事故的健康风险,并实现风险分级.以松花江硝基苯水污染事故为例,对突发性水污染事故应急风险评价技术进行验证,计算获取的以保护成人和儿童的应急参考浓度分别为0.175,0.05mg/L,污染事故的健康风险值分别为29%和62%,分别隶属于中级和高级风险水平.实例表明应急健康风险评价技术体系能够有效表征突发性水污染事故的健康风险,在一定程度上可以为突发性水污染事故的应急管理提供依据.