山西省耕地面积变化与粮食安全分析

摘要

分析了山西省耕地面积变化与粮食供给的现状,通过整理1978～2010年山西省耕地面积变化的资料,利用SPSS等软件对粮食安全和耕地阀值进行分析计算,预测2020年全省耕地资源的安全需求量为298.24万hm2,并根据山西省耕地可持续利用中存在的问题,提出了实现耕地资源可持续利用与保障粮食安全的对策建议.%The article analyzes the change of the cultivated land area and the situation of food supply in Shanxi province, and forecasts that the safe demand of cultivated land resource in 2020 in Shanxi province is 2.9824 million hm2, through clearing up the data of cultivated land area in Shanxi province from 1978 to 2010, by using SPSS software to analyze and calculate the food security and threshold of cultivated land area. According to the existent problems in the sustainable utilization of the cultivated land in Shanxi province, the author put forward some suggestions and strategies for realizing the sustainable utilization of the cultivated land resource and ensuring the food security.